How Well MLB Teams Have Drafted
Dec 10, 2014 10:13:28 GMT -5
Post by ChrisBrown on Dec 10, 2014 10:13:28 GMT -5
I originally posted this at MotownSports in repsonse to a question about how well the Tigers have drafted, but it was kind of a lot of work, so I fugred I'd post it here too.
There are a lot of different ways to look at draft success. Looking for just superstars is definitely one way to go about it, because you tend to win with stars. But the nature of the draft means stars usually go very early, and when a team like the Nationals basically sucks its way to Strasburg and Harper, do you give them credit for drafting well? And what about players like Luke Hochevar, who was taken 1-1 in 2006 and was a failed starter before becoming a good reliever. Is that a good pick when guys like Longoria, Kershaw, Lincecum, and Scherzer were drafted after him?
Anyway, I've always had the impression that the Tigers have drafted pretty poorly in the Dombrowski era, while teams like the Giants and Cardinals have done very well. Fortunately, Baseball Reference has a fantastic draft database to let us fairly easily compare. For the purposes of this exercise, I'm going to look at 2002-2010. Dombrowski joined the Tigers in 2002, and 2010 seems like a reasonable cutoff, because a lot of prospects drafted in 2011 or after may have just started playing in the Bigs. I'm going to count the number of drafted and signed players who have accumulated more than than 1.0 bWAR, and the number who have accumulated more than 10.0 bWAR, list the top 5 bWAR producers, and mention some promising young players who may join the list. I'd love to compare players to people taken later in the draft, but that would be an even more epic process.
So here we go, beginning with the hometown team:
Tigers
440 total players drafted
15 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2005
Worst Draft - 2003
Top 5
Chance to Join
Nick Castellanos, Bryan Holaday, Kyle Ryan, James McCann, Tyler Collins, Corey Knebel, Buck Farmer, Devon Travis
And now to compare to other teams:
Angels
456 total players drafted
16 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2009
Worst Draft - 2007
Top 5
Chance to Join
Randal Grichuk, Tyler Skaggs, Kaleb Cowart, Cam Bedrosian, C.J. Cron, Mike Morin
Astros
433 total players drafted
10 players with 1.0 WAR
1 player with 10 WAR
Best Draft - 2004
Worst Draft - pick 'em, but I'd go with 2007
Top 6
Chance to Join
Chris Johnson, J.B. Shuck, Mike Foltynewicz, George Springer (already has), Carlos Correa, Mark Appel
Athletics
419 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2002 or 2004
Worst Draft - 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Dan Straily, Max Stassi, Michael Choice, Sonny Gray (already has), Blake Treinen (already has), Addison Russell, Billy McKinney
Blue Jays
436 total players drafted
21 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2003 or 2009
Worst Draft - 2006
Top 5
Chance to Join
Daniel Webb, Sean Nolin, Sam Dyson, Dalton Pompey, Noah Syndergaard, Daniel Norris, Kevin Pillar, Anthony DeSclafani, Marcus Stroman (already has), Kendall Graveman
Braves
463 total players drafted
21 players with 1.0 WAR
7 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2007
Worst Draft - 2004
Top 5
Chance to Join
Corey Rasmus, Jeff Locke, Chasen Shreve, Nick Ahmed, Tommy La Stella, Alex Wood (already has), Shae Simmons
Brewers
444 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
8 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2005
Worst Draft - 2006
Top 5
Chance to Join
Jeremy Jeffress, Caleb Gindl, Jimmy Nelson
Cardinals
451 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft - 2004
Top 5
Chance to Join
Sam Freeman, Kevin Siegrist, Kolton Wong (already has), Seth Maness (already has), Michael Wacha (already has), Stephen Piscotty, Marco Gonzalez, Rob Kaminsky
Cubs
453 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
1 player with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2007
Worst Draft – 2005 or 2010
Top 6
Chance to Join
Javier Baez, Albert Almora, Kris Bryant
Rays
453 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Tim Beckham, Kyle Lobstein, Derek Dietrich
Diamondbacks
463 total players drafted
22 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2009
Worst Draft – 2002
Top 5
Chance to Join
Matt Davidson, Chase Anderson, Zach Walters, Trevor Bauer, Andrew Chafin, Evan Marshall
Dodgers
441 total players drafted
22 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2002
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Chris Withrow, Joc Pederson, Zach Lee, Paco Rodriguez (already has), Corey Seager
Giants
450 total players drafted
18 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2008
Worst Draft – 2004
Top 5
Chance to Join
Gary Brown, Heath Hembree, Joe Panik (already has), Andrew Susac (already has), Kyle Crick
Indians
461 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2008
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Chance to Join
Cody Allen (already has), T.J. McFarland, Tyler Holt, Francisco Lindor, Kyle Crockett (already has)
Mariners
449 total players drafted
12 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft – 2007 or 2008
Top 5
Chance to Join
Shawn Kelley, Brad Miller (already has), Carson Smith, Mike Zunino, Chris Taylor (already has), Dominic Leone (already has), Taijuan Walker
Marlins
457 total players drafted
15 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2002
Worst Draft – 2003 or 2006
Top 5
Chance to Join
Matt Dominguez, Brad Hand, Rob Rasmussen, J.T. Realmuto, Jose Fernandez (already has), Andrew Heaney
Mets
457 total players drafted
18 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Matt den Dekker, Brandon Nimmo, Kevin Plawecki
Nationals
454 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2005
Worst Draft – 2006
Top 5
Chance to Join
Brad Peacock, Jake Smolinski, Steven Souza, Adrian Nieto, Michael Taylor, Robbie Ray (let’s hope), A.J. Cole, Aaron Barrett, Anthony Rendon (already has), Lucas Giolito
Orioles
448 total players drafted
12 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2007
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Dylan Bundy, Kevin Gausman, Hunter Harvey
Padres
436 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005 or 2006
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 6
Chance to Join
Cesar Ramos, Dylan Axelrod, Brad Brach, Cory Spangenberg, Joe Ross, Kevin Quackenbush (already has), Austin Hedges, Max Fried
Phillies
450 total players drafted
14 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2003
Worst Draft – 2005
Top 5
Chance to Join
Domonic Brown, Travis d’Arnaud, Trevor May, Jon Singleton, Josh Zeid (fingers crossed), Darin Ruf, Cameron Rupp, Jessie Biddle, Ken Giles (already has), Cody Asche
Pirates
444 total players drafted
16 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Chance to Join
Tony Sanchez, Vic Black, Jameson Taillon, Nick Kingham, Gerrit Cole (already has), Josh Bell, Tyler Glasnow
Rangers
448 total players drafted
18 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2003
Worst Draft – 2004
Top 5
Chance to Join
Jesse Chavez, Robbie Erlin, Nick Tepesch, Kyle Hendricks (already has), Joey Gallo, Alex Gonzalez
Red Sox
458 total players drafted
16 players with 1.0 WAR
7 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Will Middlebrooks, Hunter Strickland, Ryan Pressly, Stephen Fife, Alex Wilson, Reymond Fuentes, Bryce Brentz, Anthony Ranaudo, Brandon Workman, Mookie Betts (already has), Jackie Bradley, Matt Barnes, Blake Swihart, Henry Owens
Reds
454 total players drafted
20 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2002
Worst Draft – 2003
Top 5
Chance to Join
Tucker Barnhart, Robert Stephenson, Tony Cingrani (already has), Jesse Winker
Rockies
456 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2004
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Chance to Join
Ben Paulsen, Kyle Parker, Trevor Story, Eddie Butler, David Dahl, Jon Gray
Royals
454 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2007
Worst Draft – 2010
Top 5
Chance to Join
Wil Myers, Christian Colon, Kevin Chapman, Kyle Zimmer, Hunter Dozier, Sen Manaea, Brandon Finnegan
Twins
462 total players drafted
15 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2002
Worst Draft – 2006 or 2008
Top 5
Chance to Join
Steven Tolleson, Aaron Hicks, Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, J.O. Berrios, Kohl Stewart
White Sox
450 total players drafted
14 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2010
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Chance to Join
Clayton Richard, Addison Reed, Erik Johnson, Chris Bassitt, Micah Johnson, Carlos Rodon
Yankees
450 total players drafted
14 players with 1.0 WAR
6 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Chance to Join
J.R. Murphy, Shane Greene, Bryan Mitchell, Preston Claiborne, Mason Williams, Rob Refsnyder
So how do the teams stack up? Total is the number of players drafted, and ADP is the average draft position of a team's first pick.
There are a lot of different ways to look at draft success. Looking for just superstars is definitely one way to go about it, because you tend to win with stars. But the nature of the draft means stars usually go very early, and when a team like the Nationals basically sucks its way to Strasburg and Harper, do you give them credit for drafting well? And what about players like Luke Hochevar, who was taken 1-1 in 2006 and was a failed starter before becoming a good reliever. Is that a good pick when guys like Longoria, Kershaw, Lincecum, and Scherzer were drafted after him?
Anyway, I've always had the impression that the Tigers have drafted pretty poorly in the Dombrowski era, while teams like the Giants and Cardinals have done very well. Fortunately, Baseball Reference has a fantastic draft database to let us fairly easily compare. For the purposes of this exercise, I'm going to look at 2002-2010. Dombrowski joined the Tigers in 2002, and 2010 seems like a reasonable cutoff, because a lot of prospects drafted in 2011 or after may have just started playing in the Bigs. I'm going to count the number of drafted and signed players who have accumulated more than than 1.0 bWAR, and the number who have accumulated more than 10.0 bWAR, list the top 5 bWAR producers, and mention some promising young players who may join the list. I'd love to compare players to people taken later in the draft, but that would be an even more epic process.
So here we go, beginning with the hometown team:
Tigers
440 total players drafted
15 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2005
Worst Draft - 2003
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Verlander | 2004 | 41.4 |
Granderson | 2005 | 36.5 |
Alex Avila | 2008 | 11.3 |
Rick Porcello | 2007 | 10.6 |
Matt Joyce | 2005 | 10.6 |
Chance to Join
Nick Castellanos, Bryan Holaday, Kyle Ryan, James McCann, Tyler Collins, Corey Knebel, Buck Farmer, Devon Travis
And now to compare to other teams:
Angels
456 total players drafted
16 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2009
Worst Draft - 2007
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Jered Weaver | 2004 | 36.5 |
Mike Trout | 2009 | 28.2 |
Howie Kendrick | 2002 | 27.6 |
Peter Bourjos | 2005 | 9.9 |
Joe Saunders | 2005 | 8.8 |
Chance to Join
Randal Grichuk, Tyler Skaggs, Kaleb Cowart, Cam Bedrosian, C.J. Cron, Mike Morin
Astros
433 total players drafted
10 players with 1.0 WAR
1 player with 10 WAR
Best Draft - 2004
Worst Draft - pick 'em, but I'd go with 2007
Top 6
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Ben Zobrist | 2004 | 36.5 |
Hunter Pence | 2004 | 26.7 |
Jason Castro | 2008 | 7.1 |
Bud Norris | 2006 | 5.9 |
Dallas Keuchel | 2009 | 4.9 |
J.D. Martinez | 2009 | 3.0 |
Chance to Join
Chris Johnson, J.B. Shuck, Mike Foltynewicz, George Springer (already has), Carlos Correa, Mark Appel
Athletics
419 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2002 or 2004
Worst Draft - 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Nick Swisher | 2002 | 23.2 |
Andre Ethier | 2003 | 19.8 |
Kurt Suzuki | 2004 | 14.1 |
Huston Street | 2004 | 14.0 |
Cliff Pennington | 2005 | 10.1 |
Chance to Join
Dan Straily, Max Stassi, Michael Choice, Sonny Gray (already has), Blake Treinen (already has), Addison Russell, Billy McKinney
Blue Jays
436 total players drafted
21 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2003 or 2009
Worst Draft - 2006
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Aaron Hill | 2003 | 23.8 |
Shawn Marcum | 2003 | 13.4 |
Ricky Romero | 2005 | 9.7 |
Adam Lind | 2004 | 8.6 |
Yan Gomes | 2009 | 8.2 |
Chance to Join
Daniel Webb, Sean Nolin, Sam Dyson, Dalton Pompey, Noah Syndergaard, Daniel Norris, Kevin Pillar, Anthony DeSclafani, Marcus Stroman (already has), Kendall Graveman
Braves
463 total players drafted
21 players with 1.0 WAR
7 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2007
Worst Draft - 2004
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Brian McCann | 2002 | 25.3 |
Jason Heyward | 2007 | 24.5 |
Yunel Escobar | 2004 | 23.0 |
Andrelton Simmons | 2010 | 13.3 |
Craig Kimbrel | 2008 | 12.3 |
Chance to Join
Corey Rasmus, Jeff Locke, Chasen Shreve, Nick Ahmed, Tommy La Stella, Alex Wood (already has), Shae Simmons
Brewers
444 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
8 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2005
Worst Draft - 2006
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Ryan Braun | 2005 | 36.0 |
Prince Fielder | 2002 | 23.4 |
Yovani Gallardo | 2004 | 18.7 |
Jonathan Lucroy | 2007 | 15.4 |
Michael Brantley | 2005 | 13.2 |
Chance to Join
Jeremy Jeffress, Caleb Gindl, Jimmy Nelson
Cardinals
451 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft - 2004
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Brendan Ryan | 2003 | 15.2 |
Colby Rasmus | 2005 | 13.2 |
Jon Jay | 2006 | 11.2 |
Matt Carpenter | 2009 | 9.9 |
Daric Barton | 2005 | 9.1 |
Chance to Join
Sam Freeman, Kevin Siegrist, Kolton Wong (already has), Seth Maness (already has), Michael Wacha (already has), Stephen Piscotty, Marco Gonzalez, Rob Kaminsky
Cubs
453 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
1 player with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2007
Worst Draft – 2005 or 2010
Top 6
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Josh Donaldson | 2007 | 16.6 |
Sean Marshall | 2003 | 9.8 |
Darwin Barney | 2007 | 7.9 |
Randy Wells | 2002 | 7.9 |
Josh Harrison | 2008 | 7.1 |
Jeff Samardzija | 2006 | 7.1 |
Chance to Join
Javier Baez, Albert Almora, Kris Bryant
Rays
453 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Evan Longoria | 2006 | 39.9 |
David Price | 2007 | 23.1 |
B.J. Upton | 2002 | 13.8 |
Desmond Jennings | 2006 | 11.8 |
Alex Cobb | 2006 | 9.3 |
Chance to Join
Tim Beckham, Kyle Lobstein, Derek Dietrich
Diamondbacks
463 total players drafted
22 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2009
Worst Draft – 2002
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Max Scherzer | 2006 | 24.1 |
Justin Upton | 2005 | 20.0 |
Stephen Drew | 2004 | 15.9 |
Paul Goldschmidt | 2009 | 15.6 |
Carlos Quentin | 2003 | 10.5 |
Chance to Join
Matt Davidson, Chase Anderson, Zach Walters, Trevor Bauer, Andrew Chafin, Evan Marshall
Dodgers
441 total players drafted
22 players with 1.0 WAR
5 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2002
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Clayton Kershaw | 2006 | 41.1 |
Russell Martin | 2002 | 30.1 |
Matt Kemp | 2003 | 21.3 |
Chad Billingsley | 2003 | 17.1 |
James Loney | 2002 | 12.7 |
Chance to Join
Chris Withrow, Joc Pederson, Zach Lee, Paco Rodriguez (already has), Corey Seager
Giants
450 total players drafted
18 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2008
Worst Draft – 2004
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Matt Cain | 2002 | 32.7 |
Buster Posey | 2008 | 23.2 |
Tim Lincecum | 2006 | 22.2 |
Madison Bumgarner | 2007 | 17.1 |
Brandon Belt | 2009 | 8.8 |
Chance to Join
Gary Brown, Heath Hembree, Joe Panik (already has), Andrew Susac (already has), Kyle Crick
Indians
461 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2008
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Jeremy Guthrie | 2002 | 20.0 |
Jason Kipnis | 2009 | 11.8 |
Chris Archer | 2006 | 4.6 |
Vinny Pestano | 2006 | 4.6 |
Lonnie Chisenhall | 2008 | 4.1 |
Chance to Join
Cody Allen (already has), T.J. McFarland, Tyler Holt, Francisco Lindor, Kyle Crockett (already has)
Mariners
449 total players drafted
12 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft – 2007 or 2008
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Adam Jones | 2003 | 23.9 |
Doug Fister | 2006 | 19.0 |
Kyle Seager | 2009 | 13.1 |
Dustin Ackley | 2009 | 8.9 |
Chris Tillman | 2006 | 8.6 |
Chance to Join
Shawn Kelley, Brad Miller (already has), Carson Smith, Mike Zunino, Chris Taylor (already has), Dominic Leone (already has), Taijuan Walker
Marlins
457 total players drafted
15 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2002
Worst Draft – 2003 or 2006
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Josh Johnson | 2002 | 23.8 |
Giancarlo Stanton | 2007 | 21.2 |
Jason Vargas | 2004 | 11.3 |
Steve Cishek | 2004 | 5.5 |
Christian Yelich | 2010 | 4.9 |
Chance to Join
Matt Dominguez, Brad Hand, Rob Rasmussen, J.T. Realmuto, Jose Fernandez (already has), Andrew Heaney
Mets
457 total players drafted
18 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2006
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Scott Kazmir | 2002 | 19.5 |
Daniel Murphy | 2006 | 10.9 |
Joe Smith | 2006 | 9.9 |
Jon Niese | 2005 | 7.4 |
Matt Harvey | 2010 | 6.9 |
Chance to Join
Matt den Dekker, Brandon Nimmo, Kevin Plawecki
Nationals
454 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2005
Worst Draft – 2006
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Ryan Zimmerman | 2005 | 34.3 |
Jordan Zimmermann | 2007 | 17.8 |
Ian Desmond | 2004 | 13.4 |
Stephen Strasburg | 2009 | 12.7 |
Bryce Harper | 2010 | 9.6 |
Chance to Join
Brad Peacock, Jake Smolinski, Steven Souza, Adrian Nieto, Michael Taylor, Robbie Ray (let’s hope), A.J. Cole, Aaron Barrett, Anthony Rendon (already has), Lucas Giolito
Orioles
448 total players drafted
12 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft - 2007
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Nick Markakis | 2003 | 25.3 |
Matt Wieters | 2007 | 13.6 |
Manny Machado | 2010 | 10.4 |
Jake Arrieta | 2007 | 6.6 |
Zach Britton | 2006 | 3.4 |
Chance to Join
Dylan Bundy, Kevin Gausman, Hunter Harvey
Padres
436 total players drafted
19 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005 or 2006
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 6
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Chase Headley | 2005 | 21.6 |
Mat Latos | 2006 | 13.3 |
Will Venable | 2005 | 12.4 |
David Freese | 2006 | 9.9 |
Khalil Greene | 2002 | 8.4 |
Corey Kluber | 2007 | 8.2 |
Chance to Join
Cesar Ramos, Dylan Axelrod, Brad Brach, Cory Spangenberg, Joe Ross, Kevin Quackenbush (already has), Austin Hedges, Max Fried
Phillies
450 total players drafted
14 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2003
Worst Draft – 2005
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Cole Hamels | 2002 | 41.8 |
Michael Bourn | 2003 | 22.6 |
Brad Ziegler | 2003 | 10.0 |
Kyle Kendrick | 2003 | 6.1 |
J.A. Happ | 2004 | 6.0 |
Chance to Join
Domonic Brown, Travis d’Arnaud, Trevor May, Jon Singleton, Josh Zeid (fingers crossed), Darin Ruf, Cameron Rupp, Jessie Biddle, Ken Giles (already has), Cody Asche
Pirates
444 total players drafted
16 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Andrew McCutchen | 2005 | 33.2 |
Neil Walker | 2004 | 14.2 |
Paul Maholm | 2003 | 12.1 |
Nyjer Morgan | 2002 | 7.4 |
Tom Gorzelanny | 2003 | 7.1 |
Chance to Join
Tony Sanchez, Vic Black, Jameson Taillon, Nick Kingham, Gerrit Cole (already has), Josh Bell, Tyler Glasnow
Rangers
448 total players drafted
18 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2003
Worst Draft – 2004
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Ian Kinsler | 2003 | 40.1 |
John Danks | 2003 | 21.6 |
Criag Gentry | 2006 | 9.5 |
Chris Davis | 2006 | 9.3 |
Derek Holland | 2006 | 9.0 |
Chance to Join
Jesse Chavez, Robbie Erlin, Nick Tepesch, Kyle Hendricks (already has), Joey Gallo, Alex Gonzalez
Red Sox
458 total players drafted
16 players with 1.0 WAR
7 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Dustin Pedroia | 2004 | 43.3 |
Jon Lester | 2002 | 32.1 |
Jacoby Ellsbury | 2005 | 24.4 |
Jonathan Papelbon | 2003 | 22.6 |
Clay Buchholz | 2005 | 13.0 |
Chance to Join
Will Middlebrooks, Hunter Strickland, Ryan Pressly, Stephen Fife, Alex Wilson, Reymond Fuentes, Bryce Brentz, Anthony Ranaudo, Brandon Workman, Mookie Betts (already has), Jackie Bradley, Matt Barnes, Blake Swihart, Henry Owens
Reds
454 total players drafted
20 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2002
Worst Draft – 2003
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Joey Votto | 2002 | 35.6 |
Jay Bruce | 2005 | 14.3 |
Todd Frazier | 2007 | 10.9 |
Chris Denorfia | 2002 | 10.6 |
Mike Leake | 2009 | 9.6 |
Chance to Join
Tucker Barnhart, Robert Stephenson, Tony Cingrani (already has), Jesse Winker
Rockies
456 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2004
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Troy Tulowitzki | 2005 | 37.6 |
Chris Iannetta | 2004 | 13.8 |
Dexter Fowler | 2004 | 11.4 |
Seth Smith | 2004 | 9.5 |
Jeff Francis | 2002 | 9.7 |
Chance to Join
Ben Paulsen, Kyle Parker, Trevor Story, Eddie Butler, David Dahl, Jon Gray
Royals
454 total players drafted
17 players with 1.0 WAR
3 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2007
Worst Draft – 2010
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Zack Greinke | 2002 | 42.0 |
Alex Gordon | 2005 | 28.6 |
Billy Butler | 2004 | 13.0 |
Greg Holland | 2007 | 9.8 |
Mike Aviles | 2003 | 8.7 |
Chance to Join
Wil Myers, Christian Colon, Kevin Chapman, Kyle Zimmer, Hunter Dozier, Sen Manaea, Brandon Finnegan
Twins
462 total players drafted
15 players with 1.0 WAR
4 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2002
Worst Draft – 2006 or 2008
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Denard Span | 2002 | 23.0 |
Scott Baker | 2003 | 15.9 |
Matt Garza | 2005 | 15.2 |
Jesse Crain | 2002 | 11.8 |
Brian Dozier | 2009 | 9.6 |
Chance to Join
Steven Tolleson, Aaron Hicks, Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, J.O. Berrios, Kohl Stewart
White Sox
450 total players drafted
14 players with 1.0 WAR
2 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2010
Worst Draft – 2009
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Chris Sale | 2010 | 23.9 |
Gio Gonzalez | 2004 | 16.5 |
Brandon McCarthy | 2002 | 9.9 |
Ryan Sweeney | 2003 | 6.6 |
Gordon Beckham | 2008 | 6.2 |
Chance to Join
Clayton Richard, Addison Reed, Erik Johnson, Chris Bassitt, Micah Johnson, Carlos Rodon
Yankees
450 total players drafted
14 players with 1.0 WAR
6 players with 10.0 WAR
Best Draft – 2005
Worst Draft – 2007
Top 5
Player | Draft Year | Total WAR |
Brett Gardner | 2005 | 23.1 |
Austin Jackson | 2005 | 20.3 |
Ian Kennedy | 2006 | 10.9 |
David Robertson | 2006 | 10.9 |
Phil Hughes | 2004 | 10.5 |
Chance to Join
J.R. Murphy, Shane Greene, Bryan Mitchell, Preston Claiborne, Mason Williams, Rob Refsnyder
So how do the teams stack up? Total is the number of players drafted, and ADP is the average draft position of a team's first pick.
Team | Total | ADP | 1-WAR | 10-WAR | 1-WAR% | 10-WAR% |
Tigers | 440 | 14th | 15 | 5 | 3.41% | 1.14% |
Angels | 456 | 31st | 16 | 3 | 3.50% | 0.66% |
Astros | 433 | 39th | 10 | 1 | 2.30% | 0.23% |
A's | 419 | 24th | 19 | 5 | 4.53% | 1.19% |
Blue Jays | 436 | 14th | 21 | 2 | 4.81% | 0.46% |
Braves | 463 | 31st | 21 | 7 | 4.53% | 1.51% |
Brewers | 444 | 11th | 19 | 8 | 4.28% | 1.80% |
Cardinals | 451 | 31st | 19 | 3 | 4.21% | 0.66% |
Cubs | 453 | 22nd | 17 | 1 | 3.75% | 0.22% |
D-Backs | 463 | 14th | 22 | 5 | 4.75% | 1.08% |
Dodgers | 441 | 23rd | 22 | 5 | 4.99% | 1.13% |
Giants | 450 | 17th | 18 | 4 | 4.00% | 0.91% |
Indians | 461 | 17th | 19 | 2 | 4.12% | 0.43% |
Mariners | 449 | 27th | 12 | 3 | 2.67% | 0.67% |
Marlins | 457 | 16th | 15 | 3 | 3.28% | 0.66% |
Team | Total | ADP | 1-WAR | 10-WAR | 1-WAR% | 10-WAR% |
Mets | 457 | 22nd | 18 | 2 | 3.93% | 0.44% |
Nationals | 454 | 8th | 17 | 4 | 3.74% | 0.88% |
Orioles | 448 | 6th | 12 | 3 | 2.68% | 0.67% |
Padres | 436 | 12th | 19 | 3 | 4.36% | 0.69% |
Phillies | 450 | 39th | 14 | 3 | 3.11% | 0.68% |
Pirates | 444 | 5th | 16 | 3 | 3.60% | 0.68% |
Rangers | 448 | 13th | 18 | 2 | 4.02% | 0.45% |
Rays | 453 | 7th | 17 | 4 | 3.75% | 0.88% |
Red Sox | 458 | 36th | 16 | 7 | 3.49% | 1.53% |
Reds | 454 | 10th | 20 | 4 | 4.41% | 0.88% |
Rockies | 456 | 12th | 17 | 3 | 3.73% | 0.66% |
Royals | 454 | 5th | 17 | 3 | 3.74% | 0.66% |
Twins | 462 | 21st | 15 | 4 | 3.25% | 0.87% |
White Sox | 450 | 18th | 14 | 2 | 3.11% | 0.44% |
Yankees | 450 | 31st | 14 | 6 | 3.11% | 1.33% |